Saturday 26 October 2013

Czech election: Social Democrats lead but no clear winner.

An election held to resolve months of uncertainty in the Czech Republic has failed to produce a clear winner.

With all the ballots counted, the Social Democrats have the most votes - just over 20% - but they do not have enough to form a government alone.

Analysts say the result could pave the way for another unstable coalition, with the second-placed ANO party in a powerful bargaining position.


The election has come after months of political turmoil.

The centre-right government of Petr Necas was brought down by a corruption scandal in June.

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Analysis

image of Rob Cameron
Rob Cameron
BBC News, Prague
If ever there was a textbook Pyrrhic victory, this was it. After seven years in opposition, after seven months of vertigo-inducing opinion poll results, the Social Democrats finished on just 20.45%. No wonder the mood at Social Democrat headquarters was subdued - you'd think they'd lost these elections, not won them, and in a sense, they have. Some believe party leader Bohuslav Sobotka will resign within days.

The real victor was the Slovak-born billionaire Andrej Babis, whose centrist ANO party campaigned against corruption and for change. His second place showing is simply astonishing, and can be read as the voters' resounding verdict on the established political parties. He is being coy about a possible coalition with the Social Democrats - as kingmaker, he can dictate the terms.

So what lies ahead for this Central European nation of 10 million? Almost certainly not a minority Social Democrat government propped up by the political pariahs, the Communists. That ship has sailed. Instead weeks - maybe months - of arduous coalition talks.

The country has been without a proper administration ever since - and is currently being governed by a caretaker cabinet of technocrats.

Tough talks ahead

Correspondents say that this election is likely be followed by weeks of difficult negotiations.

The BBC's Rob Cameron, in Prague, says the Social Democrats had hoped to win enough to run the country if they were supported or at least tolerated by the Communists.

But even together, they do not have enough votes to form a government, he says.

That opens the way for arduous talks on forming a coalition with some of the other parties in parliament.

Social Democrat leader Bohuslav Sobotka admitted the results of the election "may not be what we imagined", but he told reporters he was ready to start negotiations with all parties.

Our correspondent says the real winner in this election is second-placed ANO, a new centrist party which campaigns against corruption and is run by a food and agriculture billionaire.

Czech billionaire, Andrej Babis, leader of the ANO movement
Andrej Babis' ANO party has come second in the poll
ANO has almost 19% of the vote, and the Communists have just over 15%.

Continue reading the main story
Czech vote results

Social Democrats: 20.45%
ANO 2011: 18.65%
Communists: 14.91%
Turnout: 59.48%
The leader of ANO, Andrej Babis, has told reporters he could not envisage supporting a Social Democrat cabinet.

Our correspondent says this election is being seen as a referendum on the relative popularity of the established parties - which have governed the Czech Republic for 20 years - and a crowd of colourful new parties.

Analysts say ANO was able to attract voters who had grown weary of the status quo, despite Mr Babis' membership of the Communist Party before the 1989 revolution.

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